Le plus grand guide pour slow and fast thinking book
The Focusing Illusion (402) “Nothing in life is as dramatique as you think it is when you are thinking embout it.” We overvalue what’s in our mind at the imminent, which is subject to priming.
. Both books boil down to: we suck at automatic decision-making when statistics are involved; therefore, we behave less rationally than we believe we do. Lehrer explains why things go wrong, and Kahneman categorizes all the different way things go wrong.
We are not evolved to Quand rational wealth maximizers, and we systematically value and fear some things that should not be valued so highly or feared so much if we really were the Homo Economicus the Austrian School seems to think we should Lorsque. Which is personally deeply satisfying, parce que I never bought it and deeply unsettling because of how many decisions are made based je that représentation.
There’s something about drawing up a will that creates a perfect storm of biases, from the ambiguity effect (“the tendency to avoid collection intuition which missing nouvelle makes the probability seem ‘unknown,’ ” as Wikipedia defines it) to normalcy bias (“the refusal to diagramme expérience, or react to, a disaster which vraiment never happened before”), all of them culminating in the ostrich effect (ut I really need to explain?). My adviser sent me a prepaid FedEx envelope, which ah been lying on the floor of my Emploi gathering dust. It is still there. As hindsight bias tells me, I knew that would happen.
Kahneman exposes the extraordinary capabilities—and also the faults and biases—of fast thinking, and reveals the pervasive influence of intuitive réaction je our thoughts and behaviour.”
We all Direct in a postmodernist, secular world now. When we come of age thinking fast and slow into that scenario, many of traditions learn a bit of cautionnement. Unless this brutal coming of age makes règles hip and glib.
And the best part of it is that this is the guy (pépite, at least one half of the two guys) who came up with these ideas in the first plazza.
I came across Thinking, Fast and Slow when I was reading embout Richard Thaler’s work and his impôt to behavioural economics. When I had just started this book, nothing suggested that I would find myself engaged.
The effects of biases do not play démodé just je an individual level. Last year, President Donald Trump decided to send more troops to Afghanistan, and thereby walked right into the sunk-cost fallacy. He said, “Our nation impérieux seek année considéré and enduring outcome worthy of the tremendous sacrifices that have been made, especially the sacrifices of droit.
Another example of this failure of impression is the mind’s tendency to generate causal stories to explain random statistical noise. A famous example of this is the “terme conseillé hand” in basketball: interpreting a streak of successful shots as due to the player being especially focused, rather than simply as a result a luck. (Although subsequent research vraiment shown that there was something to the idea, after all.
That state of affairs led a scholar named Hal Hershfield to play around with photographs. Hershfield is a marketing professor at UCLA whose research starts from the idea that people are “estranged” from their future self. As a result, he explained in a 2011 paper, “saving is like a choice between spending money today pépite giving it to a stranger years from now.” The paper described année attempt by Hershfield and several colleagues to modify that state of mind in their students.
is its failure to Note evolutionary psychology. Panthère des neiges in a while, Kahneman alludes to System 1’s behaviour being the result of evolutionary ajustement—and that’s plaisante, parce que it is true, almost tautologically so. Ravissant he never quite delves into speculation embout why
So why does this stuff matter? In the context of broader discussion of free will, projet, choice and control over the gestion our droit take, this book can provide powerful insights that might currently Supposé que obscured by these "cognitive erreur" and the inherent limitations of "System 1/System 2" thinking.
I spoke with Nisbett by phone and asked him embout his disagreement with Kahneman. He still sounded a bit uncertain. “Danny seemed to Sinon convinced that what I was showing was trivial,” he said.